Pro-military lobbyists in Myanmar have launched a systematic disinformation campaign, alleging secret negotiations between the shadow National Unity Government (NUG) and the ruling military council, in what analysts describe as a desperate attempt to sow distrust within the resistance movement.
The claims, spearheaded by pro-junta lobbyist Nari Moe on Telegram, suggest that the NUG is coordinating a political return for exiled activists once a new administration is formed. The narrative further asserts that the military is closing cases against those with outstanding arrest warrants as part of this supposed deal.
However, political observers and activists have dismissed these reports as “psychological warfare” aimed at demoralizing frontline fighters and creating friction between the NUG and its grassroots supporters. “This is a final tactic by the military to mask their significant battlefield losses,” one analyst told the Myanmar Pressphoto Agency (MPA). “Having lost control of numerous towns, they are now trying to make the resistance forces doubt one another”.
The propaganda campaign allegedly attempts to exploit the emotions of young fighters by accusing the NUG of providing “false hope” over the past five years. Activists warn that the junta’s offer to drop charges is a “trap” designed to lure youths back to urban centers where they can be forcibly conscripted or arrested.
“The answer is clear if you look at the reality,” one activist remarked, citing the military’s recent implementation of fuel rationing and its loss of territory as evidence of the regime’s decline. “It is the military council that is failing, not the revolution”.
Strategic analysts suggest that while the junta has recently released some senior political figures to appease international critics, the core policy of the NUG—the total eradication of the military dictatorship—remains unchanged. They argue that it is the military council, facing intense military and economic pressure, that is searching for a political exit.
On the ground, resistance fighters appear undeterred by the digital offensive. “We are not fighting because we were told to; we are resisting injustice,” a frontline comrade said. “No matter how much they try to divide us, we know the truth on the ground”.
As the conflict continues, experts advise the public and revolutionary forces to remain highly vigilant against such subversion tactics, which seek to salvage military defeat through political manipulation.
